FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
That doesn't really work for my book though. So I guess it's moot unless we determine there is a better or worse way to see this. Until then, I am using the terms according to the general understanding of them that I share with everyone who seems competent to use them. you can exclude yourself from that group if you wish and see how it profits you.
Ohhhh!!!
So you are claiming that:
1. There is a distinction to be drawn between 'profitability' and 'unprofitability'
2. Profitability is better than unprofitability.
3. (MOST WELCOME ADMISSION) There is a 'better' and 'worse' way to see things.
It seems to be working in your book just fine
But I am still not buying your moral skepticism.
Indeed, it profits me just fine (financially even) to exclude myself from groupthink. I put no value on persuading you or anybody of anything.
It pays well enough (quantitatively/financially) for others to be dumb. But I think it would pay even better if everybody is less dumb.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
Fine. You can have your own special definition of moral skepticism that barely if at all relates to the meaning of the term as used by anyone else if you like. I am not that. This affects me none much.
I don't care about definitions. How many times must I explain this to you before you accept it as fact?
There are three hypotheses on the table:
A. Profitability is preferred state of affairs to unprofitability
B. Unprofitability is a preferred state of affairs to profitability.
C. There is no preferential difference between profitability and unprofitability.
If you had chosen C, I would believe your 'moral skepticism'.
If you had chosen B, I would've believed your claim about moral nihilism.
But you
keep choosing A! You keep choosing the better outcome over the worse outcome"
In economics this is called
revealed preference.
That which I call 'actions speak louder than words'.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
When I am using statistical singificance as my guide I will be sure to tell you. Until then I am not.
But you already told me! You appealed to 'confidence'! Do you not know that
Confidence intervals are statistical constructs?
I know this. I am waiting for you to convince yourself.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
It is not my problem that you are not able to consider certainty and uncertainty in any other terms, everyone else is. Our concepts of certainty (relative) are the parent of your statistical understanding, not the baby.
So you can consider certainty/uncertainty in a framework other than statistics? Why don't you explain to us how your framework works then?
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
90% of people responding to an opinion survey might say that Cheese is better than beer, or vice versa. That would be a fact about the opinion survey, there is no means by which cheese can be factually better than beer, so only opinions have been discovered by this method. Subjective opinions of course.
There are empirical means. You use
revealed preference. You put beer and cheese in a shop and if people tell you that they 'prefer cheese to beer' but everybody keeps buying beer and nobody keeps buying cheese, then you simply conclude that people have no clue what the fuck they want.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
We could if you were able to point to something other than the opinions of people as a guide. If you cannot, then I am referencing objectivity as the shared public concept it is, and you are referencing an alternative that you think it ought to be.
I already pointed you to something. People's behaviour - not their words.
revealed preference
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
That's exactly how it does work though. When the axiomati assumptions of any field lead to failure, then IF some alternative schema provides a fix, the axioms move.
That's exactly NOT how science works. You start with both hypotheses: null and alternative.
H1: People like cheese more than beer.
H2: People like beer more than cheese
And then you see what people actually buy more beer than cheese, and you conclude that H2 is 'more true' than H1.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
Something we can view as objective information (whether that meets your standards is irrelevant) informs this movement. Morality has no basis for that search and thus the axioms cannot merely move just because you are annoyed that the trolley problem isn't working out the way you want.
Same thing.
H1: Murder is preferred to non-murder
H2. Non-murder is preferred to Murder.
Humans prefer one of those outcomes more than the other.
FlashDangerpants wrote: ↑Tue Mar 03, 2020 11:41 am
The trolley problem works just fine, it just doesn't happen to be doing something you like or can cope with psychologically. You have difficulty acceting uncertainty it seems, perhaps this explains your demands to quantify it.
I don't need to 'cope with it psychologically' if I can cope with it statistically.
I have an instrument that you don't.
Ergodic theory and the
Monte Carlo method.
It's sufficient for me to know that H1 wins over H2 by
1 decibel (in English that would be a needle in a Universe of haystack) that's enough for me to make up my mind.