Changing risk appetites
Posted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:24 am
Given that every conversation seems to be about covid like it or not at present, but all our conversations on this topic have become repitive to the point of complete tedium, perhaps we should look at all this stuff in some new light
Henry introduced us to a piece written by George Avery comparing Covid-19 to the 1957 Asian Influenza A:H2N2 or 1968 Hong Kong Influenza A:H3N2 pandemics. You can find it here.
We can have yet another pointless discussion about case fatality rates if we really must, but perhaps it is more interesting to look at how all of this fits into the changes that have happened in our (rich world at any rate) societies over the last 50 or so years. Is it true that our grandparent's generation bore things such as covid with a lot less pissing their pants than we have? I vote yes.
I thnk the majority of the story can be told with reference to graphs such as the one below published by Britain's Heath and Safety Executive. Most countries should have similar graphs I expect.

What it shows is a reducaed appetite for preventable deaths. In this particular case, mostly of construction workers falling to their deaths. But similar attitudes are present everywhere you look today. In the 50s and 60s people used to die in house fires because their fridges and water boilers ignited, now we are condemned to a life of non-explosive appliances and incredibly shrill fire alarms.
We ban toys that choke children, and lead from all the stuff they might lick. Asbestos is totally banned everywhere, extremely large soda cups are banned in some places, nobody can smoke anywhere comfortable any more.
Does this go any way to explaining why we get all shrivelled up and scared when faced a couple of million deaths when our grandparents just got on with things in the face of the same thing? Is it all health and safety gone mad?
Henry introduced us to a piece written by George Avery comparing Covid-19 to the 1957 Asian Influenza A:H2N2 or 1968 Hong Kong Influenza A:H3N2 pandemics. You can find it here.
We can have yet another pointless discussion about case fatality rates if we really must, but perhaps it is more interesting to look at how all of this fits into the changes that have happened in our (rich world at any rate) societies over the last 50 or so years. Is it true that our grandparent's generation bore things such as covid with a lot less pissing their pants than we have? I vote yes.
I thnk the majority of the story can be told with reference to graphs such as the one below published by Britain's Heath and Safety Executive. Most countries should have similar graphs I expect.
What it shows is a reducaed appetite for preventable deaths. In this particular case, mostly of construction workers falling to their deaths. But similar attitudes are present everywhere you look today. In the 50s and 60s people used to die in house fires because their fridges and water boilers ignited, now we are condemned to a life of non-explosive appliances and incredibly shrill fire alarms.
We ban toys that choke children, and lead from all the stuff they might lick. Asbestos is totally banned everywhere, extremely large soda cups are banned in some places, nobody can smoke anywhere comfortable any more.
Does this go any way to explaining why we get all shrivelled up and scared when faced a couple of million deaths when our grandparents just got on with things in the face of the same thing? Is it all health and safety gone mad?