mickthinks wrote: ↑Sun May 23, 2021 4:01 pm
- Trump is now the overwhelming populist choice for the next election
- Trump is not the overwhelming populist choice for the next election
Both are unknowable, ...
I've already agreed with you, and addressed the epistemological significance so you are adding nothing to the nothing you started with here. Both are not equally likely, nor even equally plausible.
... both are extravagant ...
I think you don't know what "overwhelming" means, dude.
Sure I do. I'm sayin' either claim is unsupported by a jot of fact. If extravagant
offends you then replace it with bold
Better yet: just call 'em both lies
, cuz anyone claimin' either as fact is a damned liar (and anyone makin' a buck on either is a lyin' thief).
And: to be clear, Walker's desire that one be true, or your desire the other be true, don't mean diddly squat.
A shrewd operator could make himself a lot of money betting on the second.
...could just as easily be A shrewd operator could make himself a lot of money betting on the first.
Go, conduct a poll of ten thousand likely voters in Calif. and come away with dismal chances for ORANGE MAN, then poll ten thousand likely voters here, in Louisiana, and come away with fantastic chances for ORANGE MAN.
Both of you guys are seein' what you wanna see.
And even on election day, '24, with the votes tabulated and appearin' to mebbe favor one candidate overwhelmingly, the best you can say is actual voters overwhelmingly support X. With one third to one half of possible voters not takin' part, that's all you say.
So, to say...
Trump is now the overwhelming populist choice for the next election
Trump is not the overwhelming populist choice for the next election